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Rubber accelerator weekly review: tight supply of accelerator or extend the rise

May 13, 2019

1.Raw material analysis

Pure benzene review: oil benzene market this week to maintain the basic range of sideways finishing.In terms of crude oil, this week's oil market as a whole wide shock, many intraday up or down more than 2%, showing the market anxious and long - short violent game.Domestic market, the fundamental change is not big, the market for constant force will continue to mass production news has been digested, the impact on the mentality began to gradually reduce.In the middle of the week, due to the decline of both the pure benzene and styrene inventories in east China port and the price rise driven by the short covering of styrene, the pure benzene market showed a slight improvement. After several times of trial and failure, it was difficult for the shorts to have confidence to make a short again, so the overall market showed a slight upward trend.External market, the second quarter of foreign centralized maintenance more, is expected to reduce the supply.And the lower reaches of the United States, South Korea and Taiwan region will soon be the end of maintenance, demand will be further enhanced, the market is a little optimistic about this expectation, the external panel talks earlier active.

Aniline overview: this week aniline market prices first fell and then rose.Aniline profit reference shandong based.The theoretical cost is calculated according to (cost = nitric acid *0.74+ pure benzene *0.86). The labor cost of raw materials is not included in the calculation, but only according to the cost of raw materials.This week, the procurement cost of hydrogenated benzene and nitric acid for aniline production enterprises increased compared with last week. The cost of this week is about 4946.72 yuan/ton, which is 191.65 yuan/ton higher than 4755.07 yuan/ton last week. Excluding labor cost, the current profit is about 650 yuan/ton.To this Thursday, aniline price range in 5520-5570 yuan/ton, the weekly average price in 5585 yuan/ton since the acceptance, compared to last week's average price (5915.5 yuan/ton) fell 330.5 yuan/ton, a decline of 5.59%;The price range of east China aniline market is between 5,650 yuan/ton and 5,800 yuan/ton, and the weekly average price is 5,725 yuan/ton for acceptance and self-withdrawal, down 356.5 yuan/ton or 5.86% from last week's average price (6,081.5 yuan/ton).


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